It’s strange given how we wouldn’t be without our smartphones, expect delivery the day we buy and instant replies to messages, that people in general and more specifically those running campaigns appear so poor on the use and capitalisation of social media. Photographs of dogs at polling stations, therefore, have become popular under the hashtag #dogsatpollingstations. Indeed, younger people tend to avoid Twitter more than older people. "as you might find yourself in breach of secrecy of the ballot requirements". The editor of the BBC programme also tweeted: "With leave voters in Manchester for BBCNews -most told us … Bookies rarely get it wrong. He uses this knowledge to help companies improve their online connections to their customers and potential customers and offers consultancy, workshops, masterclasses and webinars. The official Vote Leave campaign spent more than £2.7m on targeting ads at specific groups of people on Facebook - helping it to win the 2016 EU referendum. Tricky call for the Scots, this one. But I take your point. Download. Yes, there is bound to be some variation. As a result, Berkshire on the map ends up as neutral, even though Reading is significantly in favour of remain. Graham is an award-winning writer and the author of 32 books, several of which are about various aspects of the Internet. This site uses cookies to ensure that it provides the best experience for visitors. Mob storms Capitol as Facebook, Twitter roles come under fire. But it will be long enough for many middle aged people to lose their jobs and never find another one. Interesting even taking into account the nuances of the cohort – just reviewed #BREXIT using Keyhole.co and it would appear to show a similar result. (Hons), Adv.Dip.Ed., MBPsS., M.Sc., M.Ed., FPSA, PSAE, FHEA, Use These 5 Steps to See if Your Social Media is Profitable, Retailers are failing to impress their customers, Click here for a FREE guide on the 5 Psychological Tips that will boost your website. You are a proud and … I really love your site, Highly recommend to everyone !! If you look at the map, the blue areas show where sentiment is highest to remain. Vote Leave's CTO Thomas Borwick has reached out on Twitter regarding the official Vote Leave site, saying "All on way back machine and menu button." Yes, it does seem odd doesn’t it. In 2016, Vote Leave made a series of pledges, suggestions and assertions about what would happen if Britain voted to quit the EU and negotiated a new relationship.. After the Brexit process claimed two prime ministers, Vote Leave ended up running the U.K. government. That might seem the case, but the evidence suggests otherwise. Strange how Scotland appears solid red. I admit, the odds at the moment are mostly in favour of “remain” though. THE mastermind behind the Vote Leave campaign has been welcomed back to the heart of government — despite being found guilty of holding parliament in contempt. True, the Twitter sample is self-selected, made of people who want to have their say, rather than the general population which tends to remain quiet. If a lot of Scots vote tactically for Leave, to try to force a referendum if the UK does a ‘Brexit’, even though they want to remain, the vote count might go against them in the total tally. Rolling coverage of all the day’s political developments as they happen, including David Cameron and Jeremy Corbyn at PMQs and Vote Leave being … Want an ad-free experience?Subscribe to Independent Premium. I notice these rightists, when challenged over their £350million lie, move to an annualised figure of £10billion, which is a mere bagatelle in the context of the economy. (Hons), B.A. The average age of someone who Tweets is 52. Sharing any photos taken in a polling station is strongly discouraged, but you are allowed to say how you voted. Equally, Twitter appears to be more capable of predicting stock market prices than other methods. EU cheers Cummings departure: Vote Leave architect's bombshell No 10 exit is celebrated in Brussels as Brexit talks reach 'make or break' moment MEP … So, the people we tend to meet will tend to hold similar views, even if they are not the majority view. Graham Jones is an Internet Psychologist who studies the way people use the online world, in particular how people engage with businesses. I agree, David, the study itself does have some limitations, but I still think it is a useful indicator. Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies. I am so happy and proud of the British citizens for deciding to vacate the EU. But before getting carried away with one of the British public’s biggest decisions in a generation, it is worth checking the law on what you can and can’t do. The same old tactics Tories have always used to steal the working class vote. Start your Independent Premium subscription today. Johnson and Cummings under fire as police hand criminal evidence on Vote Leave to prosecution agency Published on: 1 November 2019 Written by: … your paper’s ID could be revealed, which would compromise privacy. Vote Leave rather cheekily used Jeremy Corbyn – officially a Remain campaigner – in its ads. Is it against the law to post your EU referendum vote on social media? I agree, though, that Twitter usage itself is not a perfect representation of the population. Currently, pollsters telephone only around 1,000 people. To figure out how tweeting influenced votes, the study authors looked at the share of pro-leave or pro-Trump tweets by geography to check how closely votes were correlated with Twitter activity. Even if you are not Christian and don’t celebrate Christmas, late December is still an important, Last week, the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson admitted that a “second wave” of COVID-19 seemed inevitable. However, it is only light blue on the map, showing there is a degree of influence from many people who want to leave. Brexit admit there will be a period of uncertainty, should they win. ... View original tweet on Twitter. The United Kingdom and its dependant territories are going to the polls to decide whether or not the the United Kingdom will remain in the European Union, A man driving a van covered in stickers urging people to vote for the United Kingdom to remain in the European Union drives outside a polling station on the day of the EU Referendum in Gibraltar, A sign on a gable wall in Belfast's, Loyalist Tigers Bay urging voters to leave the EU using scripture from Revelation 18:4, as voters head to the polls across the UK in a historic referendum on whether the UK should remain a member of the European Union or leave, {{#verifyErrors}} {{message}} {{/verifyErrors}} {{^verifyErrors}} {{message}} {{/verifyErrors}}. The largest number of voters in history will be eligible to vote in the EU referendum, All you need to know about the EU referendum, A woman in a wheelchair with British and European Union flags shows her support for the United Kingdom to remain in the European Union on the day of the EU Referendum in Gibraltar, A polling station being used in the EU referendum at Batley Town Hall in the constituency Labour MP Jo Cox, People arrive to vote in the EU Referendum at the Library where British MP Jo Cox was shot and fatally wounded last week in Birstall, A man arrives to vote at a polling station for the Referendum on the European Union in north London, Voters queue to enter a polling station at Trinity Church in Golders Green in London, British Prime Minister David Cameron and his wife Samantha Cameron leave after voting in the EU Referendum at Central Methodist Hall, Westminster, Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn cast his vote at a polling station at Pakeman Primary School in Islington, Chelsea pensioners arrive at a polling station near to the Royal Chelsea Hospital, A woman wearing an "I'm In" t-shirt, promoting the official "Remain" campaign, leaves a polling station in London, People queuing outside a polling station on Amott Road in London, Scotland's First Minister and Leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP), Nicola Sturgeon and her husband Peter Murrell, react as leave after casting their votes at a polling station at Broomhouse Community Hall in east Glasgow, A man wearing a European themed cycling jersey leaves after voting at a polling station for the Referendum on the European Union in north London, Ukip leader Nigel Farage arrives to cast his vote at Cudham Church of England Primary School in Biggin Hill, Kent, Justice Secretary and prominent 'Vote Leave' campaigner Michael Gove poses with his wife Sarah Vine after voting in the European Union referendum at their local polling station in Kensington, Nuns leave a polling station after voting in the EU Referendum in London, People arrive to cast their ballots in the EU Referendum in Gibraltar. Indeed, the bookies reported the other day a significant increase in betting for “leave”, thereby changing the odds again. You can contact us in writing at the address above or via email at info@voteleave.uk . Unlike market research or polls, for example, which can only ask a tiny proportion of people at any one time, Twitter can give you the feelings of hundreds of thousands – even millions – of people and see their opinions alter over time. Photos of postal votes are perfectly legal, however, since you won't be in a polling station with them. The commission strongly advises against taking photographs inside a polling station "as you might find yourself in breach of secrecy of the ballot requirements". Maybe the evidence is slightly skewed by the fact that most older people who are absolutely decided on voting out, don’t tweet. LONDON — It was a long time coming, but the Brexit campaign can finally be judged on its promises. The odds in favour of a remain vote have been reducing for weeks now. Vote Leave Limited (#09785255) is a company limited by guarantee registered in England and Wales, whose registered office is at: Westminster Tower, 3 Albert Embankment, London, SE1 7SP. If you look at the Guardian newspaper website you will see a majority of comments are pro-Brexit, the Independent website comments are 99% Brexit and the Labour facebook page is 100% Brexit. For most of the bookies (I agree not all) the odds have been changing over the past few months, with them making Brexit more likely than was the case a months or two back. Like Anya Jenkins above, we’re also pretty much bang in the middle of Wales and hardly ever encounter a Remainer, yet the map says Powys is solid blue for remain. Vote Leave was the designated lead campaigner for the leave outcome at the referendum. The majority of people Tweeting about the forthcoming referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU are going to vote “leave”. But given the law was enshrined more than three decades ago, it pre-dates the age of Snapchat, Twitter and Facebook. Vote Leave has today (Friday 29 March 2019) withdrawn its appeal and related proceedings against the Electoral Commission’s finding of multiple offences under electoral law, committed during the 2016 EU referendum campaign. Before the 2008 London Mayoral election polling staff were told that dogs were allowed to attend the vote alongside owners, as long as they are in an "accompanying" role rather than "free-range". Vote Leave is back in the spotlight. For instance, as I said in the article, the town of Reading is showing a considerable tendency towards staying, but other towns in Berkshire are not the same. Such high levels of emotion about a UK political event have been rarely seen in recent years, and social media platforms such as Twitter and Facebook have been encouraging participation with various "statuses" and the hashtag #iVoted. Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? According to the research, the town in the UK with the highest number of Tweets about remaining in the EU is Reading, Berkshire. I think the working class know that Remaining means more migrants to burden their schools, GP surgeries, hospitals, dentists, social housing and keep low-skilled wages low. OK, I know, it is September, and I am talking about Christmas. Featured image credit: Twitter @darrengrimes_ The official campaign to leave the European Union handed over £625,000 to a 23-year-old fashion designer, The Times reports. DOMINIC CUMMINGS was director of Vote Leave during the 2016 EU referendum and is widely seen as the mastermind behind Brexit - but he had … A demoralised working class is easy meat for the right wing Tories, and they will be easily persuaded to scapegoat Brussels for all their ills. According to mainstream media the SNP were threatening another Scottish referendum if we left the EU, I assumed because the Scottish People might quite like to remain?! But how do you do that? I only use affiliate links for products which I personally value. As for this money being used in the NHS, can you imagine this from these people who are keen to privatise it??? The link to the Vote Leave website is still currently linked to on the campaign's Twitter page, as seen below. I live & run a busy hair salon in Teesside here it Is a massive out. With more than 2,500 Tweets per second, Twitter is a real barometer of opinion. It can predict the likely popularity of products and services, for instance, as well as show you what your customers really want. If you are in business, you cannot ignore Twitter as a research tool. The social media companies face pressure to suspend Trump's accounts after the president used … Rob Delaney suggests Vote Leave change Twitter banner after Nigel Farage dismisses '£350million' NHS pledge. Equally, you could say that the “Brexiters” are more likely to Tweet than those who want to remain within the EU. Can your business survive a second wave of COVID-19. There is still three weeks to go, so they could go the other way and favour a leave vote. The study appears to focus on the official hashtags: #StrongerIn #UKinEU #VoteLeave and #LeaveEU, so a rather limited sentiment analysis. I live in Northumberland and have a night club there and most people in talk to want out, but show up as in on here. Share this article via facebook Share this article via twitter … And what of other widely used hashtags such as #REMAIN (which appears to be missed) and probably others? So, while you set up your own Twitter sentiment study, sit back and remember that you heard it here first: the UK is going to vote to leave the EU (according to Twitter). Vote Leave logo. By focusing on immigration, Brexit has found its only traction, since it has been exposed on every other issue. Sorry for bringing it up so early. I forgot to say, there is also a significant majority of Mirror website comments which are Brexit. Lizenz-Beispiel und HTML-Code Photo: Vote Leave by Marco Verch under Creative Commons 2.0 For instance, it is more capable of predicting heart attack mortality than existing medical technologies. Politics Brexit (b) any forecast as to the result of the election which is (or might reasonably be taken to be) based on information so given. That’s a colourful image I’m trying not to think about too much…! Clearly, Twitter is not bad at predictions. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/PA. The Commission advises it would be better to take a photo outside the polling station to use on social media. Based on the above I think its very likely we will be leaving. Twitter suggests Vote Leave will win EU referendum vote. Toby Meyjes Wednesday 8 Jun 2016 4:56 pm. Has anyone gone a little more indepth? In the “Fox & Friends” discussion with Walsh, the hosts showed a censored Walsh tweet questioning the unfinished vote … The UK has voted to leave the European Union, a decision that has sent shockwaves through the world. On Friday morning I was listening to a radio phone-in when the presenter said, “Please, no more calls about a Brexit deal…!” He then went on to say “We have no way of knowing what. The graph of odds for many bookies (not all) shows the betting for “leave” and the betting for “remain” converging.If that graph continues its current trend, by the time we get to the referendum there is a chance that the betting will be mostly in favour of Brexit. Anyone who inadvertently reveals how someone else votes could face a £5,000 fine or six months in prison. It is an interesting group psychology phenomenon. Fortunately, the Electoral Commission has clarified what people should be able to do on social media during voting days. Someone mentioned that the bookies have an outvote at 4-1 and I thought, are they trying to influence the masses into a yes… Think I’ll go stick 100 quid on it tomorrow! On average, Instagram posts from the members of the Leave camp received 26% more likes and 20% more comments, while the most active users in the dataset were also all campaigning for a Leave vote. That’s the surprising finding in a study of more than 350,000 Tweets on the topic.. Of course, you could easily dismiss this research as being superficial and without any controls. If the bookies rarely get it wrong why are they odds on staying in that’s totally contradictory to what you are saying here with your TWIT research come on !!! Vote would be very different this afternoon." EU referendum: How Europe's newspapers are marking Britain's decision day, EU referendum polling: Final Ipsos Mori survey shows Remain ahead of Leave, EU referendum: Outrage over polling station 'looking like EDL rally' with St George bunting and England flags. Vote Leave is the latest Brexit campaign group to be penalised over its spending during the EU referendum. He also speaks regularly at conferences and business events. Any big number to scare the vulnerable unschooled. The actor tweeted Farage directly, signing off with a kiss Das Bild Vote Leave von Marco Verch kann unter Creative Commons Lizenz genutzt werden. Brexit campaign group Vote Leave has been fined £61,000 and referred to the police after an Electoral Commission probe said it broke electoral law. Twitter, accused of being a breeding ground for conspiracy theories, has begun flagging tweets by Trump and his supporters with warnings for misinformation or inciting violence. vote leave Lessons From An American Who Worked On The 'Leave' Campaign In the four years I've worked in London, I never once ventured any further than Heathrow Airport, that is, until I was brought on to work for Vote Leave campaign - the campaign for the UK to leave the European Union. When you have the bookies getting twitchy as well as the financial markets and Twitter data showing the same thing, it suggests another possibility – that this referendum will not be decisive one way or the other. The largest number of voters in history are eligible to vote on Britain’s membership of the European Union – a record 46,499,537 people, according to the Electoral Commission. We have known about the pattern of viral infections for centuries, so it should have been no surprise, Kemp House, 152 City Road, London EC1V 2NX | Tel: 0118 336 9710. The map is showing the whole of the area only, not individual towns. The only ones who wish to Remain are the metropolitan elite and the hug-a-refugee brigade. Interestingly, this town has the European HQs of many significant global businesses, including Microsoft. This new analysis of sentiment on the referendum could be a significant finding. So someone who Tweets is representing the people around them and their thoughts too. well i live in Hull and i don`t know a single person who wants to remain .I think this map is about as accurate as a pisshead trying to hit a toilet with his wazz stream ! Revealing another person’s vote is prohibited, but retweeting somebody – sharing what they have already said – is permitted. Affiliate Links: Some of the links in this website are affiliate links providing me with a small commission when you purchase an item. Vote Leave. Under Section 66 of the Act it is a criminal offence to communicate information about how someone has voted. Twitter users scream 'leave' in Brexit vote, but 'remain' gains ground Pradip Sigdyal | Nick Wells Published 1:53 PM ET Thu, 23 June 2016 Updated 8:40 AM ET Fri, 24 June 2016 CNBC.com Twitter can also accurately predict the extent of hurricane damage. That’s the surprising finding in a study of more than 350,000 Tweets on the topic. And I forecast seeing you on TV news before the week is out talking Brexit … That’s my boy . The problem with Scotland is the vote counting that the SNP will be using to determine whether another referendum vote should take place. Delete Twitter: How to delete your Twitter account or take a break from the site Subscribe to our newsletter Twitter can be useful, informative, and − whisper it − even pretty uplifting at times. We’ll only find out if the data are correct when we get the results of the referendum. The largest number of voters in history are eligible to vote on Britain’s membership of the European Union – a record 46,499,537 people, according to the Electoral Commission. As I said before, the feelings in one town may not reflect the feelings of the entire area on the map. However, even though Twitter may be biased, it is probably representative because people’s opinions are constructed from the world in which they inhabit. Use these graphics to dress your facebook and twitter accounts, show your support for voting Leave in the EU referendum, and help us spread key messages. They can tell us the statistical significance, but Twitter can give us a much more complete picture of feelings from bigger samples of people. For more information connect with me on Google+, © 2020 Graham Jones – B.Sc. Perhaps one camp is doing a better job on social media than the other at the moment! So people outside the town of Hull might be more inclined to remain. T. he majority of people Tweeting about the forthcoming referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU are going to vote “leave”. Could that be a reason for the number of Tweets in favour – several people who work in that town are often travelling throughout Europe anyway? Promoted by Matthew Elliott on behalf of Vote Leave, both at Westminster Tower, 3 Albert Embankment, Lambeth, SE1 7SP. The majority of people Tweeting about the forthcoming referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU are going to vote “leave”. Twitter sentiment analysis is amazingly accurate. Download. Wales, for instance, which has received significant funding from the EU is almost entirely in favour of remaining. The financial markets are also showing concern about the likelihood of a leave vote. Es ist auf Flickr in voller Auflösung verfügbar. Pandemic fatigue is making people either pessimistic or too optimistic. According to the commission, “A voter may volunteer information about how they voted, provided no undue influence is exerted on them to do so.”. Download. Mmm, not sure about the accuracy of this. However, one of the interesting psychological effects in many group studies is that somehow (we don’t know how) we tend to talk to people who all hold similar views (not necessarily as ourselves, but with one another). So, the prediction that most people will vote “leave” should not be taken lightly. Boris Johnson and Michael Gove on the Vote Leave bus. We work in these areas and Wales is by no means blue! Although there is nothing in the law that specifically bans taking photos, your paper’s ID could be revealed, which would compromise privacy. I don’t agree that it is “totally” contradictory. Your future depends upon you being realistic. Areas heavily affected by immigration, such as Kent and East Anglia (red on the map) are set against the EU and are Tweeting to leave. Whilst it is an important issue, It is not worth what will be lost should the tie with Brussels be cut and such people take over the political system. Of course, you could easily dismiss this research as being superficial and without any controls. Uncertainty over what voters can and can't do on social media, Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. Except that half of Scotland is shown as blue, not red. The 1983 Representation of the People Act states the following: No person shall, in the case of an election to which this section applies, publish before the poll is closed: (a) any statement relating to the way in which voters have voted at the election where that statement is (or might reasonably be taken to be) based on information given by voters after they have voted, or. If the majority of Scots vote to ‘Remain’, with the rest of the UK swinging a ‘Leave’ vote, the SNP will have a mandate to call for a new referendum, with the option of Scotland then joining the EU as a single country, outside the UK. Amazon: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases.Images: Images from Amazon, Canva, Fotolia, Free Digital Photos, Freepik,FreeStockPhotos, Geograph, Pixabay, PxHere, StoryBlocks, Unsplash product suppliers or my own collection.
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